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11/11/2022
Country risk and economic studies

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10/31/2022
Country risk and economic studies

A cold chill on the global economy - Q3 2022 Barometer

Beyond the repercussions of the war in Ukraine, the global monetary tightening and the multiple constraints on Chinese growth paint a gloomy outlook. In the short term, the economy seems to be settling into a regime of "stagflation", where almost no growth and rapidly rising prices coexist. The possibility of a global recession, meanwhile, is becoming clearer.
In this context, Coface is making general downward revisions to its GDP growth forecasts and its country and sectoral assessments. Check them out!

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09/29/2022
Country risk and economic studies

Germany Corporate Payment Survey 2022: Battered companies prepare for another crisis

The impact on corporate payments in 2022 appears to be moderate and comparatively lower than the shock on the economy. However, companies are vigilant in the short-term and very pessimistic about the future.

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06/21/2022
Country risk and economic studies

A recession to avoid stagflation? The world economy at a crossroads

Four months after the start of hostilities in Ukraine, first lessons can be drawn.
Which countries and sectors are doing best? Which ones are going to face major difficulties?
Read the forecasts from our Q2 Barometer now.

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05/31/2022
Country risk and economic studies

CEE company insolvencies on the rise

Various economic conditions, support measures and legal changes have affected insolvency trends in the Central and Eastern Europe region over the last two years.

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05/10/2022
Country risk and economic studies

War in Ukraine: Many (big) losers, few (real) winners

More than two months after the start of the war in Ukraine, of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on 24 February, prospects for a rapid resolution of the war seem increasingly unlikely.

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04/28/2022
Corporate news

3M-2022 Financial Results: a strong start to the year with a net income of €66.2m

Coface releases its 3M-2022 Financial Results: a strong start to the year with a net income of €66.2m.

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04/27/2022
Country risk and economic studies

Gulf countries benefit from higher energy prices, but inflationary pressures are increasing

Oil prices stabilized around $100 - the highest level since 2014 - are unsurprisingly benefiting the Gulf countries. However, rising agricultural commodity prices are putting upward pressure on consumer price inflation.

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03/07/2022
Country risk and economic studies

Economic consequences of the Russia-Ukraine conflict: Stagflation ahead?

The Russia-Ukraine conflict has triggered turmoil in the financial markets, and drastically increased uncertainty about the recovery of the global economy. Since our last publication, the world has shifted, so have the risks.

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02/21/2022
Country risk and economic studies

Barometer Q4 2021: The global recovery continues in 2022, but a bumpy road lies ahead

Two years after the onset of the pandemic, the global economy continues to recover, but still faces significant challenges. Download the Coface Q4 2021 Country & Sector Risk Barometer and its press release here.

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01/26/2022
Country risk and economic studies

Outlook 2022: peering through the jungle of economic news

Coface ventures perilous predictions for 2022 on the world economy and a specific focus on Germany.

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11/22/2021
Country risk and economic studies

How did CEE Top 500 companies perform during the pandemic?

The 13th CEE Top 500 study provides an insight into the future and summarizes the region’s economic activity for the previous year. Moreover, it describes the condition of the 500 largest companies in CEE by their turnover. This edition describes the struggles of the new Covid-19 pandemic environment as well as how companies adjusted to this new situation. Jarosław Jaworski, CEO of Coface Central and Eastern Europe, explains that “the CEE economies have adapted to the new, pandemic environment, but its positive picture is challenged by the global and European perspective. Central and Eastern Europe’s 500 largest businesses faced a decrease in revenues and an even sharper drop in profits in 2020.” The Top 500 companies' turnover has dropped by 3.3% to 667 billion euros. Average turnover contracted to 1,333 million euros compared to last year’s 1,378 million euros, showing the impact the pandemic has had on the region, but also its resilience and growth potential.

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09/29/2021
Country risk and economic studies

Germany Corporate Payment Survey 2021: Learning to live with the pandemic

The 5th edition of Coface’s survey on corporate payment experience in Germany was conducted in July and August 2021, with 819 companies participating.

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08/12/2021
Corporate news

Coface reports first-half net income of €123.2m, confirming an excellent start to the year

Coface reports first-half net income of €123.2m, confirming an excellent start to the year. Turnover: €768m, up 7.4% at constant FX and perimeter.

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07/28/2021
Country risk and economic studies

Is the electric vehicle metals boom sustainable?

The metals used in electric vehicles, such as lithium, cobalt and copper, are at the heart of the revolution currently taking place in the automotive industry. But imbalances between supply and demand are pushing up their prices, even though the market share of electric vehicles remains modest. In its latest analysis, Coface does not foresee any major changes in these price trends over the next two years.

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07/15/2021
Country risk and economic studies

Coface Barometer Q2 2021: A two-speed world

18 months after the start of the pandemic, access to vaccination is now the main factor setting the pace of people's daily lives and the global economy. GDP growth forecasts for 2021 have been revised upwards (+5.6%), but this is mainly the result of positive surprises from the United States. These improved growth prospects are reflected in world trade: after a 5% decline in volume last year, Coface forecasts an 11% increase for 2021.

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06/30/2021
Country risk and economic studies

Focus on remote work: The Risks and Opportunities of Virtual Offshoring

Remote work has emerged as a new norm during the Covid-19 pandemic. This cultural shift could allow companies located in developed countries to hire teleworking talent in emerging countries to reduce their labour costs.

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05/11/2021
Corporate news

Coface records a good start to the year with a net income of €56.4M

Turnover: €378m, up 4.2% at constant FX and perimeter
Trade credit insurance growing by 6.1% at constant FX benefiting from stabilising client activity
Client retention close to record highs; positive price effect (+2.9%)
Business Information continues to grow (+9% at constant FX)
Factoring and debt collection down on lower volumes

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04/12/2021
Country risk and economic studies

United States: Stimulus plan paves the way for record trade deficit

As the world's largest importer, and second largest exporter of manufactured goods, the United States has had a trade deficit since the early 1970s. Using an analysis based on historical estimates of a potential trade balance, Coface estimates that the deficit could grow by 56 billion dollars as a result of the stimulus plan.

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03/16/2021
Country risk and economic studies

The paradox of corporate insolvencies in Europe: miracle and mirage

In 2020, and even if the real impact of the COVID-19 crisis remains uncertain, the number of insolvencies actually fell in all major European economies. According to our research, the gap between the expected deterioration of the companies’ financial health and the number of insolvencies suggests that there is a high number of “hidden insolvencies” that have been postponed, rather than prevented.

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02/09/2021
Country risk and economic studies

Coface Barometer Q4 2020 - An uneven recovery

In its latest quarterly Barometer and on the occasion of the publication of the country and sector risk guide, Coface highlights an uneven recovery across countries, sectors of activity and income levels.

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